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class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/cxounion.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/CXOUNION\u65b0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7ffb\u8bd1\uff1a<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Yang Ping, Chief investment officer of Huatai Insurance Group: Where are the investment prospects in China?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Yang Ping, Chief Investment Officer of Huatai Insurance Group and General Manager of Huatai Assets, delivered a keynote speech at the theme forum &#8220;Global Economic Outlook and Investment Future&#8221; of the Global Wealth Management Forum 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yang Ping said that the current global economic growth is still slow and unbalanced, the US economy maintains moderate growth, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has increased the uncertainty of the future commodity and financial markets, and the risk of the global financial market has intensified. He pointed out that the global asset management industry is facing new development trends, the domestic pension market still has a large space for development, ESG is still a long-term growth point, alternative asset investment often takes advantage of the real estate contraction cycle to develop and grow, the global asset management industry \u03b1 and \u03b2 differentiation pattern is still deepening, index funds continue to rise, active funds poor performance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He believes that China&#8217;s economy has initially stabilized and rebounded, China&#8217;s financial market still has a large investment opportunity, the future development mainly focuses on artificial intelligence, &#8220;new three things&#8221;, large consumption, new energy and other hot issues, to grasp the talent dividend and urban investment debt opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The topic of my speech is &#8220;The faltering Global Economy and China&#8217;s investment Prospects.&#8221; My report today is divided into four parts, and I will focus on sharing forward-looking content.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The first part, global economic tendency.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In the previous discussion, panelists have elaborated on the state of the global economy, concluding that global growth remains slow and uneven, and the next few years are expected to be a long repair process. Forecasts from the International Monetary Fund and others point to a slowdown in global growth. In addition, the growth of global trade is also slowing, which is characterized by its broad-based nature, involving multiple countries and commodities, while inflation and commodity price fluctuations can also have a significant impact on regional trade volume developments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regarding the US economy, it is generally believed that the economy maintained moderate growth in the context of high inflation and monetary tightening in the first three quarters. However, the fourth quarter of the United States economic signs and risk factors interwoven, the Federal Reserve is likely to end the current tightening cycle. At the same time, there is a consensus that inflation remains resilient.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">In the near term, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has increased uncertainty about the future of commodity and financial markets. <\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>The current oil price reaction has been relatively modest, with no double-digit increase, unlike previous episodes of Israeli-Palestinian or sectarian conflict. The impact is relatively limited, and the probability of the storm spreading is not high. However, the current global financial market is uncertain, and the conflict combined with the end of the novel coronavirus epidemic and the Russia-Ukraine war and other factors will have a certain spillover and impact on the relevant financial markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Risks in global financial markets have intensified. In the stock market, affected by high interest rates and the US debt ceiling. The global stock market has been affected by different degrees, and the performance of different countries and regions has been different. As a safe asset in the world, the interest rate of US Treasuries remains high, or risk spillover and impact on global financial assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">In the second part, the global asset management industry is facing some new development trends.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>First, the problem of aging is widespread, developed economies have established a relatively mature three-pillar pension system. And the domestic pension market still has a large room for development. In recent years, China has obviously entered the stage of aging. And now many developed countries including Japan have entered the aging society. In this context, the three-pillar pension system is becoming increasingly important worldwide. Although five or ten years ago, Western countries took this more seriously. China is now gradually increasing its attention to the pension system. According to data at the end of last year, about 50% of assets under management in the United States, Europe and Japan came from pensions. It is estimated that in the next 5-10 years, China will face a pension gap of 8 to 10 trillion yuan, which is the expected scale in the case of long-term capital inflows from the capital market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Second, ESG remains a long-term growth area.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Third, in the real estate contraction cycle, alternative asset investment often takes advantage of the momentum to grow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fourth, the global asset management industry \u03b1 and \u03b2 differentiation pattern is still deepening, index funds continue to rise, active funds poor performance. In addition to low fees, passive funds also have an obvious feature, that is. The underlying assets are very transparent, and will not change because of the change of fund managers and styles. The cost performance of passive index funds is getting higher and higher. And this investment method has also entered the fast lane of development, which is reflected in the gradual subdivision from the broad base index to the industry and theme strategy index.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The third part is that China&#8217;s economy has initially stabilized and rebounded.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest economic data show that China&#8217;s production side and demand side have shown obvious marginal improvement. And the signal of economic recovery is increasing. For example, on the production side, industrial production increased in September. On the demand side, fixed-asset investment also rose in the first nine months. The biggest bright spot in the third quarter data is consumption, with retail sales of consumer goods up 5.5%, far exceeding market expectations and the performance of July and August, and exports have improved significantly for three consecutive months. On the price front, fears of deflation may ease a bit this year. The surveyed urban unemployment rate has started to stop falling, and a series of data such as industrial profit growth and PMI have indicated that China&#8217;s economy is stabilizing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The fourth part, China&#8217;s financial market still has great investment opportunities.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">First, the first three quarters of China&#8217;s financial market twists and turns. <\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3001The performance of China&#8217;s three major asset markets this year is not ideal. The stock market has completely ignored the improvement of fundamentals and policy support. And the main index has been falling, highlighting the complex situation and many difficult challenges facing the Chinese economy. Since the beginning of this year, the foreign exchange market has continued to weaken. And the renminbi has weakened against the US dollar, falling below 7.3, reflecting that domestic and foreign investors have less confidence in renminbi assets than before. The real estate problem is also relatively serious. Although the real estate sales in September have improved significantly compared with the downturn in August. It still does not show that the real estate has gone out of the dilemma. And the real estate is still in the growth period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Second, there is still considerable room for expansion of macroeconomic policies in the future. <\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>All important indicators in China show that the Chinese economy has picked up significantly in the third quarter. Which is closely related to the relevant policies adjusted by the Political Bureau meeting of the Central Committee at the end of July. And the expansionary economic policies that have been introduced have provided huge policy support. At the same time, China&#8217;s inflation is at a historically low level. The central government&#8217;s leverage ratio is significantly lower than the international level. And the government is still relatively prudent in increasing leverage, which leaves ample room for policies to respond to challenges and changes that exceed expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Third, China&#8217;s financial market still has large investment opportunities in the future. <\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>After China joined the WTO at the beginning of this century, China has enjoyed many years of globalization dividends. First, external demand has driven China&#8217;s economic growth, and second, real estate has driven China&#8217;s economic growth in 20 years. China&#8217;s economy is entering a new stage of development, and high-quality development has become the basic consensus of the whole society and the whole market. China&#8217;s financial market is gradually shifting from the traditional &#8220;real estate driven&#8221; and &#8220;external demand-driven&#8221; to &#8220;scientific and technological innovation driven&#8221; and &#8220;consumption upgrading driven&#8221;, which also provides greater investment opportunities for the asset management industry. The latest formulation of &#8220;new quality productivity&#8221; and its corresponding investment opportunities deserve close attention from the market. The focus and opportunities of China&#8217;s industrial development in the future are very clear, that is, strategic emerging industries and future industries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">As for the future development, we mainly focus on the following six aspects:<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>First, the space for scientific and technological innovation and industrial upgrading and development in the era of digital intelligence is vast. And the performance of artificial intelligence, digital economy, semiconductor and other sectors is more prominent this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Second, the &#8220;new three&#8221; (electric manned vehicles, lithium batteries, solar cells) gradually replaced the previous &#8220;old three&#8221; (clothing, furniture, home appliances) in foreign trade status, the &#8220;new three&#8221; exports continued to grow, becoming a new momentum to promote the quality of China&#8217;s foreign trade upgrading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Third, large consumption has become an important support for the double cycle. Consumer groups are quite different from the past, and the most prominent highlight of future consumption is the three major groups: &#8220;Generation Z&#8221; (born after 1995 young people), &#8220;new middle class&#8221; and &#8220;silver&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fourth, there are huge investment opportunities in the area of carbon compliance and carbon neutrality, which the market has been paying attention to for a long time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fifth, the demographic transition from demographic dividend to talent dividend is a leap from quantity to quality. Although the growth rate of China&#8217;s population is slowing down and the progress of aging is accelerating. The per capita consumption power will not necessarily decline. 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